Center of Workforce Development

May 2010

Chandler-Gilbert Faculty Receives Educator of the Year Award

Engineering faculty member Bassam Matar of Chandler-Gilbert Community College was selected as the 2010 EE (Electronic Engineering) Times ACE Award Educator of the Year. Bassam was recognized for his work with Avnet Inc. as part of a faculty externship program through the High Tech Workforce Initiative (HTWI), an NSF-funded grant managed by the Center for Workforce Development. HTWI has proven to be a valued contributor to Maricopa's outreach effort in the high tech sector as well as the catalyst for a number of significant efforts in the areas of curriculum and faculty development. Most notably, the industry based externship activities have afforded faculty members from many of our colleges to expand their expertise and develop new classroom curriculum which are more closely aligned with current and future industry needs.

Nominated by Avnet, the award recognized the outstanding quality of Bassam's work and his commitment to his students. He received the award at a ceremony held in conjunction with the Embedded System Conference in San Jose on April 27th. Also noteworthy is that Bassam's selection marks the first time the Educator of the Year award was given to a community college faculty member. Prior recipients of the award come from Purdue University (2009), the University of San Francisco (2008), San Jose State University (2007), and Southern Methodist University (2006). EE Times has been the electronics industry newspaper of record for over 30 years, with a weekly distribution to more than 150,000 design and development engineers and technical managers.

Public Workforce System Team Partners with Access Points

As a joint venture with both the City of Phoenix and Maricopa Workforce Investment systems, MCCCD will be piloting Access Points at several colleges. Access Points consist of faith-based or community organizations where job seekers can go in their own neighborhoods or communities to look for jobs. The Access Points model emerged from pilot programs conducted in 2002 by the U.S. Department of Labor to increase universal access to the One-Stop Career Center System, by building partnerships between faith-based and community organizations and Workforce Investment Areas (WIA). Manned by college staff or volunteers, MCCCD college Access Points will provide some one-stop services and referrals to others. Pilot campuses will include Glendale, GateWay, Paradise Valley, and Mesa Community Colleges. In April, MCCCD Education Representatives from the Center for Workforce Development’s (CWD) Public Workforce System team delivered two train-the-trainer workshops for Access Points volunteers and staff from across the Valley. CWD representatives Richard Gould and Jennifer Rue conducted these customized workshops to help prepare Access Points volunteers and staff to assist job seekers with resume development, online job search and networking skills.

U.S. Economic Overview

Nationwide, there are increasingly positive signs that the economic recovery has begun. The U.S. economy added 573,000 jobs in the first four months of 2010 (290,000 in April alone) including 101,000 jobs in manufacturing. Consumer spending is up, auto sales in the first quarter are up 16% over 2009, exports are increasing, payrolls are growing again, companies are reporter stronger-than-expected earnings, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 70% in the past year. U.S. has survived the worst downturn since the Great Depression because the public and private sectors reacted to the economic crisis with great speed and were willing to restructure and write off bad debt. In the first quarter of 2009 the economy was shrinking by an annual rate of 6.4%, by the fourth quarter of 2009 it was growing by a 5.6% annual rate.

US Employment Growth

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance

There are plenty of reasons to caution the recovery, however. Unemployment remains at 25-year highs, and as a lagging indicator, it will remain high even as the economy recovers. Currently, the unemployment rate nationwide stands at 9.9% in April, down from 10.1% in October of 2009. Nearly 7.8 million jobs have been lost since employment peaked nationwide in December of 2007. The U.S. would need to add 160,000 jobs per month for four years to match its 2007 peak. Nearly 43% of persons unemployed nationwide have been out of work for more than six months, the highest percentage registered since World War II. Unemployment is also disproportionally high among the poor. The unemployment rate among households making $12,499 or less is 30.8%.

Other problems loom on the horizon which may derail the fragile recovery. Housing remains an ongoing issue. Normally, a rebound in the residential housing market drives economic growth in a recovery. Not this time. Although home prices are showing signs of improvement, this might be temporary, as other waves of foreclosures hit the market. Also, the $8,000 tax credit for first time home buyers has come to an end. Energy prices are also on the rise. Oil is currently hovering at around $80 a barrel, months before the traditional summer driving season begins. Ironically, the resumption of global economic growth will push oil prices higher, putting strains on the fragile recovery. Other looming issues include the budget deficit, which as a percent of GDP is the highest since the end of WWII, the end of federal stimulus spending, and shaky financial markets in Europe.

Arizona Outlook

Arizona was one of the first states to enter recession as the nation's economy began to turn, and was one of the last to begin recovery. All indications are that Arizona's recession came to an end with the beginning of the new year, about six months after the U.S. recovery began. Employment in Arizona is no longer falling, retails sales are up, personal income has stabilized, and the housing market is in the early stage of recovery.

Despite positive trends, it will take Arizona years to repair the economic damage that has been done. Statewide, the unemployment rate now stands at 9.6% in March, and will remian high for sometime. Population growth in 2009 (1.5%) was the slowest seen in at least 50 years, sales tax receipts have fallen by nearly one-third, in 2009 personal income, adjusted for inflation, declined for the first time ever. Arizona lost 343,000 (or 12.7%) of jobs between 2007 and 2009. Moving forward, if job growth in the state matches the average rate seen between 2000 and 2007 (2.7%), it would take nearly five years to recover all the jobs lost since 2007.

Employment Growth AZ v. US

Employment in most of Arizona's industry sectors is beginning to stabilize. Sectors employing more people in March 2010 (compared to March 2009) include wholesale trade, general merchandise and department stores, educational services, most areas of healthcare, social services, and federal government. Sectors still struggling with negative employment growth include construction, mining, manufacturing, transportation and distribution, information, financial services, administrative services, accommodation, and state and local government. Also, employment in Arizona's high-tech sector remains flat, and has been for most of the last decade.

Top Industries for Employment Growth - Arizona
March 2009 to March 2010 Percent
Educational Services 10.2%
Federal Government 3.0%
Ambulatory Health Care Services 1.9%
Wholesale Trade 1.2%
Nursing and Residental Care 1.0%
Securities, Investments, and Related Services 0.8%
Department Stores 0.4%
Food Services and Drinking Places 0.3%
Source: Arizona Department of Commerce
Top Industries for Employment Declines - Arizona
March 2009 to March 2010 Percent
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores -22.2%
Construction - Heavy and Civil Engineering -21.4%
Construction - Specialty Trade Contractors -20.3%
Construction of Buildings -18.1%
Fabricated Metal Products Manufacturing -14.5%
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing -8.6%
Accommodation -8.5%
Mining -8.4%
Source: Arizona Department of Commerce

Arizona's housing market is showing early signs of recovery. Residential building permits, which bottomed out in March 2009, are up 94% in March of 2010. Existing home sales are also up sharply, driven by federal tax credits and investors buying, repairing, and "flipping" homes. Although rates of foreclosures and short sales remain high, home values bottomed out in May 2009 and up 6.8%. The inventory of vacant homes is estimated at 120,000 statewide, and it will likely be 2014 before homebuilding in Arizona matches levels seen before the downturn.

Although the recession in Arizona has ended, it will likely be several years before the state's economy transitions from recovery to expansion mode. Moving forward, growth may be muted by continued difficulties in the real estate market, particularly commercial real estate, and continued layoffs in the public sector. The economic impact of SB1070 boycotts is also an unknown factor. Governments at the state and local level will struggle to balance budgets for at least the next three years or more, and funds to provide infrastructure and public school improvements will be limited, which will be an impediment to statewide economic development efforts.

Economic Indicators
          Change  
    Current Previous Year Ago Current/ Previous Year/Year Date
Gross Domestic Product       
  US 5.6% 2.2% -5.4% 3.4% 11.0% Q4 2009
Employment (in thousands)       
  US 130,161 129,871 131,542 0.2% -1.0% April, 2010
  Arizona 2,398.2 2,393.3 2,478.3 0.2% -3.2% March, 2010
  Greater Phoenix 1,649.4 1,645.3 1,707.2 0.2% -3.4% March, 2010
Unemployment Rate       
  US 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 0.2% 1.3% April, 2010
  Arizona 9.6% 9.5% 8.7% 0.1% 0.9% March, 2010
  Greater Phoenix 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% -0.3% 0.6% March, 2010
First Time Unemployment Claims
  US 480,000 463,000 609,000 3.7% -21.2% Week Ending April 10th
  Arizona 7,026 8,021 8,803 -12.4% -20.2% Week Ending April 24th
Continued Unemployment Claims       
  US 4,663,000 4,686,000 6,225,000 -0.5% -25.1% Week Ending April 10th
  Arizona 84,137 82,217 105,509 2.3% -20.3% Week Ending April 24th
Consumer Price Index       
  US 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.2 March, 2010
Consumer Confidence       
  US 57.9 52.3   0.8 10.7 April, 2010
Retail Sales ($ millions)       
  US 363,194 357,466 337,476 1.6% 7.6% March, 2010
Taxable Sales ($ millions)       
  Arizona 3,481 3,189 3,461 9.2% 0.6% March, 2010
Food Stamp Recipients       
  US 39,693,919 39,430,990 32,556,129 0.6% 21.9% February, 2010
  Arizona 1,006,005 1,005,810 772,534 0.002% 30.2% February, 2010
Median Sale Price, Existing Single Family Homes       
  US $172,900 $178,200 $180,200 3.0% -4.1% Q4 2009
  Greater Phoenix $143,900 $142,700 $155,900 0.8% -7.7% Q4 2009
Residential Building Permits       
  US 103,200 96,000 106,400 7.5% -3.0% March, 2010
  Arizona 1,678 1,121 864 49.7% 92.2% March, 2010
  Greater Phoenix 1,171 806 544 45.3% 115.3% March, 2010
Commercial Vacancy Rates - Greater Phoenix       
  Industrial 16.4% 16.1% 14.5% 0.3% 1.9% Q1 2010
  Office 25.6% 24.5% 22.8% 1.1% 2.8% Q1 2010
  Retail 11.9% 11.4% 9.7% 0.5% 2.2% Q1 2010

 

Corporate Expansions   Corporate Layoffs
  Name Jobs Industry     Name Jobs Industry
  Suntech 150 Solar     Sam's Club 162 Retail
  Alpha Energies 57 Solar     Honeywell Aerospace 280 Aerospace
  Tower Automotive 182 Standard Manufacturing     Mondrian Scottsdale Hotel 140 Accommodation
  Safelite Auto Glass 715 Customer Service Center     Palm Harbor Homes 105 Construction
  First American Home Warranty 400 Customer Service Center     Wackenhut Incorporated Services 135 Security Services
  Yelp 200 Internet     American Greayhound Racing 147 Sports
  Stream Global Services 470 Customer Service Center     SelectBuild 77 Construction


About Us
The Center for Workforce Development works to ensure that the Greater Phoenix economy has a skilled labor pool which meets the existing and emerging workforce needs of the employer community. You can visit us at www.maricopa.edu/workforce